Sunday, October 20, 2013

Home loan firms may see new lending rate norms !

NHB to start the exercise for a smooth transition.
After banks, it’s the turn of housing finance companies to have a more transparent regime for pricing of loans. The National Housing Bank (NHB), the regulator for these companies, is working on a system that is similar to the base rate regime introduced for banks recently.
"We will keep a close watch on how the base rate system works out for banks over the next two quarters. By March, we will have enough reference points to take a view, based on which, we should be in a position to start moving towards a similar regime," NHB Executive Director R V Verma said.
The base rate, substitute for the earlier benchmark prime lending rate (BPLR) for banks, was introduced from July 1. The country’s largest lender, State Bank of India, fixed its base rate at 7.5 per cent. The rate for most banks is in the range of 7.25 to 8 per cent.
Housing Development Finance Corporation and LIC Housing Finance are two major players in the home loan market. Since they come in the non-banking financial institution category, they were excluded from the base rate system.
Analysts said introduction of a base rate was likely to put pressure on housing finance companies because of the transparency it would bring. There are expectations that market forces (read home loan borrowers) might put pressure on them to make rates more transparent.
"Housing finance firms would be under a lot of pressure to come up with a more transparent mechanism. The floating rate of interest will have to be based on certain parameters that will move in both directions. It cannot remain sticky for too long any more," said a banker.
The main problem for these companies in moving to such a system is their cost of funds. While banks depend on a more stable system, of deposits from their consumers, home loan companies have to borrow from banks and other sources.
"Home loan companies are more heterogeneous than banks. Their cost of funds, therefore, is quite different," added Verma!
                                                                                                     Source:- Business Standard

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Senate Approves Deal to End Government Shutdown !

The Senate voted 81-18 to reopen the federal government and lift the debt limit Wednesday evening, after an eleventh-hour agreement reached earlier in the day by Majority Leader Harry Reid and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.
The overwhelming bipartisan vote sets the stage for the end to the 15-day government shutdown hours before the federal government’s borrowing authority is set to expire. The House will vote on the measure later in the evening, where it is expected to pass with the help of Democrats.  Speaker of the House John Boehner conceded earlier Wednesday that his conference’s strategy to demand concessions in exchange for reopening the government had failed. “Blocking the bipartisan agreement reached today by the members of the Senate will not be a tactic for us,” he said in a statement.
In a statement in the White House Briefing Room after the Senate vote but before the House took up the measure, President Barack Obama said, “once this agreement arrives on my desk, I will sign it immediately.” Obama said he hoped that lawmakers in both parties would learn from the shutdown and swear off governing by crisis.
“I’m eager to work with anybody, Democrat or Republican,” Obama added, saying he have more to say about future budget negotiations after the agreement on Thursday. “I’ve never believed Democrats have a monopoly on good ideas.”
Asked whether he was concerned about this process repeating itself in just a few months, Obama replied simply, “no.”
The only votes against the measure in the Senate came from conservative Republicans, including Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio, in addition to several members wary of primary challengers.
Before voting, the Senate approved the appointment of budget negotiators by unanimous consent after Senate Republicans dropped their longstanding opposition to beginning the process as part of the agreement announced Wednesday afternoon. The House will also appoint members to the conference committee, with a deadline for their report set for Dec. 13.
The agreement funds the federal government in place of an annual budget through Jan. 15, 2014 and lifts the debt limit through Feb. 7, 2014.


                                                                                                                 As reported in TIME !

Twitter's huge payday for early investors !

FORTUNE -- Twitter yesterday updated its IPO registration, disclosing four top-line items:
  1. 1. Its shares will list on the NYSE
  2. 2. User growth decelerated a bit
  3. 3. Revenue growth was flat
  4. 4. Its percentage of ad revenue coming from mobile climbed from 65% to 70%
Much further down in the doc, however, was a revised cap table that showed how Twitter's earliest investors will fare. In short, ridiculously well.
Here's the breakdown:
  • Union Square Ventures (led Series A in 2007): 27.84m shares, 5.9%
  • Spark Capital (led Series B in 2008): 32.4m shares, 6.8%
  • Benchmark (led Series C in 2009): 31.57m shares, 6.6%
At last check, Twitter shares were being marketed at $31 per share on the private markets (working out to a $15.5 billion valuation). Let's use that as a baseline, even though we've already seen one bank analyst issue a $50 per share target. Here's what each firm's stake would be worth, compared to the size of the fund out of which it invested in Twitter:
  • Union Square Ventures (led Series A in 2007): $863m in Twitter stock vs. $125m fund size
  • Spark Capital (led Series B in 2008): $1 billion vs. $360 million
  • Benchmark (led Series C in 2009): $979 million vs. $500 million
In other words, two of the three firms will more than double their entire fund based on just one investment. Benchmark will get there if Twitter stock goes just $1 higher ($32 per share).
And this doesn't even account for the fact that both Spark and USV each did two secondary share sales. Twitter doesn't break these out in its IPO documents (which is unusual) but, for example, it's known that Spark owned 15% after its 2008 deal and invested inseveral subsequent rounds (again, its current stake is just 6.8%). Chances are that each firm may have already returned the fund on those sales, meaning that what comes in the IPO is just gravy...
                                                                                          As appeared in CNN Fortune!

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Opportunities in energy & real estate sectors for investors !

Total market capitalisation of the sector has increased 21 times in the last 18 years.
With the deregulation of diesel prices, and with reforms in real estate sector on the anvil, Motilal Oswal Securities analyses oil & gas and real estate sectors to highlight opportunities for investors — potential and stalwarts.
ENERGY
Total market capitalisation of the sector has increased 21 times in the last 18 years, with the private sector accounting for a major part of the increase. However, while the overall industry has benefited in the last two decades, OMC’s financial health suffered. Indian Oil & Gas sectors have reshaped over the last 20 years primarily led by the government policy changes. In event of likely deregulation over coming years, ONGC/OINL in upstream have significant earnings growth opportunity, while BPCL in OMC’s has relatively strong balance sheet and E&P potential.
Valuation
* Remain invested on Gail India due to headwinds for gas availability. However, Petronet LNG (PNG) is available at attractive valuation given its medium term earnings potential.
* In the private space, policy reforms on upstream will benefit Cairn India and RIL equally in expediting the monetisation of E&P acreage. Buy Cairn India shares for its attractive valuation and remain invested on RIL as the next earnings growth is still some time away when its new core-business/E&P projects commission from FY16/FY17.
CONCERNS
* The taxes from the oil and gas sector to the Centre (net of subsidies) are now at the decade low level at Rs 174 billion against a peak of Rs 1 trillion in FY’08.
* Also, as a percentage of GDP, the ratio has declined from 2.4 per cent in FY’04 to 0.2 per cent in FY’13.
* We believe this could be should be an inflection point for the government to opt for the bold reforms and also push state governments to reduce their taxes.
REAL ESTATE VALUATIONS
* BSE Realty index underperformed the broader index by 22 per cent in 2QFY’14. Near-to-medium term risk continues to remain beyond comfort zone due to weakening demand, high inventory, stressed balance sheets and risk of defaults.

* Despite strategic discipline adopted by most developers, improvement in!

                                                                                   Courtesy :- The Financial Express

Friday, October 11, 2013

Why India's economy is better than it looks !

India has several problems but an impending economic crisis isn't one of them, the country's top central banker said emphatically Thursday.
"There's no way we are close to being a country in financial or economic crisis," Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan told CNNi's Richard Quest. "There's not a chance we will go to the IMF for money in the next 5 years."
The comments came at CNN's Debate on the Global Economy, an event held in conjunction with the World Bank and International Monetary Fund's annual meeting in Washington D.C.
Other panelists included IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, People's Bank of China Deputy Governor Gang Yi, Spain's Minister of Economy and Competitiveness Luis de Guindos and Chairman of President Obama's Council of Economic Advisers Jason Furman.
Rajan, who formerly served as head of the IMF, has faced a difficult task since being named India's top central banker in September: How to tame rampant inflation, without depressing economic growth even further.
Rajan's first attempt at a solution -- to hike interest rates -- shocked Indian markets three weeks ago.
"Inflation has been too high," he told Quest. "We have to combat it."
The rupee has been weakening against the U.S. dollar since the Federal Reserve started hinting it might slow its bond-buying program later this year.
The weaker currency makes it more expensive for India to import fuel, which trickles down to other prices making necessities like food more expensive.
Rajan warned that "easy money" created by the Fed's stimulus policies is large part of the problem. He described unhealthy investment cycles, in which cheap money from developed countries flows into emerging economies, which then go into distress and push the money back to industrial countries. This cycle is now on its third rendition, he said.
"Easy money is part of our problem," Rajan said. "How do we stop this flow, which creates problems again, and again, and again?"
Rajan also spoke about India's "perception problem" as the emerging economy has slowed from a rapid 10% growth rate just three years ago, to a mere 4.4% growth rate in the second quarter this year.
India's growth may have slowed, but it still holds very large U.S. dollar reserves, and is also far less indebted than other major nations, he said.
"We need to bring back growth now. But we're still doing better than a significant number of economies in the world," he said.

The U.S. economy, for example, will be lucky if it grows between 2% and 3% this year, according to most projections.
All the panelists voiced concerns about the debt ceiling debate in the U.S. but said they were confident Congress and President Obama would reach an agreement soon to avoid a default on the country's debt.
"We do have faith. I hope we won't be let down," Lagarde said.
Earlier Thursday, House Republican leaders said they will propose a temporary 6-week increase in the nation's borrowing limit. To top of page

The bold move, which increased the key rate to 7.5%, was made at the first policy meeting presided over by new Reserve Bank of India governor, Raghuram Rajan.
He also announced the scaling back of some emergency monetary measures introduced a few months ago with the aim of supporting the falling rupee as investors fled from emerging markets.
The capital flight was triggered by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would start to wind down its massive stimulus program, spelling trouble for theglobal recovery.
Investors responded poorly Friday, sending Mumbai's Sensex index down more than 2% after the announcement. The rupee weakened against the dollar.
The policy moves reflect the dilemma Rajan faces in trying to prevent inflation spiraling out of control without damaging efforts to revive India's sluggish growth.
Rajan said the Fed's decision this week to keep pumping money into markets at current rates had bought India some time to put its economy in order.
"We must use this time to create a bulletproof national balance sheet and growth agenda, which creates confidence in citizens and investors alike," he said.
Rajan, who took up his post as central bank governor earlier this month, is challenged with boosting India's economy amid sky-high inflation, a rapidly weakening rupee, increased borrowing costs, a faltering stock market and its slowest economic growth in a decade.
India is also particularly vulnerable due to its $88 billion current account deficit, which reflects the nation's tendency to import many more goods than it exports and leaves it heavily reliant on foreign capital.
But Rajan isn't wasting any time. In his first day on the job, he announced reforms that should make it much easier for new banks to be licensed. He also took steps to support the rupee, including a new central bank facility to encourage commercial banks to accept more deposits from overseas.
The former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund seems undeterred by the challenges he faces, and has said he isn't afraid of making difficult choices.
"Some of the actions I take will not be popular. The governorship of the central bank is not meant to win one votes or Facebook likes," he said.


Into this mess steps Raghuram Rajan, a University of Chicago professor and fledgling media star who this week assumed the top spot at the Reserve Bank of India.
Rajan is best known for predicting an impending financial crisis during a 2005 gathering of prominent economists in Jackson Hole. The event was meant to honor former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, who listened as Rajan argued that the exotic financial instruments championed by Greenspan had made economies unsafe.
Rajan, who delivered his first address as India's central banker on Wednesday, will need similar courage and foresight in his new job. Many of India's problems are outside the purview of the central bank, and the country's fractured political class is unlikely to legislate any meaningful reforms with an election looming next year.
The result could be an attempt by Rajan to forge a new, more unconventional path for the central bank.
"Any entrant to the central bank governorship probably starts at the height of their popularity," Rajan said Wednesday. "Some of the actions I take will not be popular. The governorship of the central bank is not meant to win one votes or Facebook likes."
Rajan is not wasting any time. In his first day on the job, Rajan announced reforms that should make it much easier for new banks to be licensed. He also took steps to support the rupee, including a new central bank facility to encourage commercial banks to accept more deposits from overseas.
Investors appear impressed, for now. Mumbai's Sensex index gained 2% and the rupee clawed back some lost ground.
But Rajan's next choices could be more fraught. The central bank could hike interest rates to fight inflation, but too sharp a move would raise borrowing costs for businesses and risk angering the ruling political party.

"The government is extremely unlikely to countenance a significant rise in the benchmark interest rate as a means of supporting the rupee, given the negative implications that would have for the real economy and for the electoral prospects of the ruling coalition," said Anjalika Bardalai, a senior analyst at Eurasia Group.

                                                                                        Courtesy : CNN-IBN

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Inside Starbucks’ Risky Bet on Selling Food!

Starbucks is betting that consumers and investors alike will have an appetite for its products beyond coffee. With the recent acquisitions of Teavana, Evolution Fresh and La Boulange Café and Bakery, the Seattle-based coffee giant is aiming to expand its offerings and capture the midday and afternoon traffic that has been elusive so far.
It’s not the first time the coffee chain has tried the risky concept.“The first time they tried to expand into food, there were some missteps because of the way they incorporated food into the logistics of the restaurant,” says Darren Tristano, executive vice president of Technomic, Inc. With last year’s purchase of La Boulange for $100 million, what Starbucks has done is “found a way to incorporate sandwiches and baked goods into that concept to create a broader meal offering.”
On the company’s most recent conference call in July, chairman and CEO Howard Schultz told analysts that was on track to be in 2,500 of the company’s U.S. coffee shops by September, including stores in New YorkChicago, Boston and Los Angeles. “We’re seeing both an enthusiastic customer response and substantial lift in incrementally,” he said at the time. On the conference call, Schultz credited Starbucks’ 9% sales growth in the U.S. to “continued beverage innovation and increased food attachment resulting from the success of our transformed and reinvented food program.”
Analysts say adding La Boulange positions Starbucks to compete better with Panera Bread, to an extent, and rival coffee purveyor Dunkin’ Donuts.
And the changes go beyond croissants. In addition to baked goods, Starbucks is hoping to do for tea and juice what it did for coffee, turning them from commodities into high-end, high-margin products. The first Teavana store is scheduled to open this month in New York City, and the company has visions for a standalone chain of Evolution Fresh juice bars.
“You’ll see juice bars with customization, you’ll see tea bars from Teavana,” says R.J. Hottovy, senior restaurant analyst at Morningstar. “Starbucks is a very good retail operator in finding locations and getting a lot of customer transactions at high velocity. I think you can replicate a lot of those things with tea and juice as well.”
Tristano says owning these companies rather than relying on outside suppliers for non-coffee menu items has two advantages: It lets Starbucks better control the quality and make changes, and it will shave a couple of percentage points off the company’s food costs. “Now, the downside is if they start to get into managing their own food supply. It does create more of a distraction from what they do best, which is serving a great cup of coffee.”
Analysts agree that demand is there, but say executing on new products correctly will be a challenge. The coffee shops don’t have full restaurant-style kitchens; many didn’t even have freezers, which had to be added to accommodate the new baked goods, according to the New York Times. (The new baked goods arrive at Starbucks stores frozen.) Consultant and former Starbucks executive John Moore told the Times, “The stores are set up as places to brew and serve coffee, and they don’t have a back of the house suitable for the prep work and other work that goes into serving high-end pastries like these well.”
But analysts see another benefit to this burgeoning growth, anticipating that an expanded product line-up will let Starbucks sell more items in more places. ”I also like the idea that they have new products to take to grocery stores and warehouse clubs,” Hottovy says. Starbucks has had success bringing its Tazo tea brand, Starbucks bagged coffee and K-cups into stores, he points out.
With baked goods and juices added to the mix, a lot more retail shelf real estate is up for grabs, which is likely to boost Starbucks’ profit margin. “This is the next evolution,” he says.

Starbucks CEO Calls For End to Government Shutdown!

The outspoken CEO of Starbucks, Howard Schultz, penned an open letter Monday calling for an end to the federal government shutdown and partisan discord in Washington, asking fellow business leaders to help “address the crisis of confidence that is needlessly being set in motion.”
“Like so many of you, I find myself utterly disappointed by the level of irresponsibility and dysfunction we are witness to with our elected political leadership,” Schultz wrote on the company website as the government shutdown entered its second week.
“I’d like to encourage you to consider what your companies and organizations can do to help shift the norms of our country back toward civility, compromise and problem-solving,” he said.
This isn’t the first instance in which Schultz has waded into politically charged waters. The CEO of the world’s largest coffee chain called in 2011 for lawmakers to reach a deal during a rancorous debt ceiling debate. Last month, after a spate of mass shootings, Schultz asked customers to voluntarily keep guns out of Starbucks stores.

The $7 Cup of Starbucks: A Logical Extension of the Coffee Chain’s Long-Term Strategy:-

This week Starbucks began selling a cup of coffee for $7. This may seem ridiculous, but it’s the logical next step of the chain’s long-term marketing strategy: To convince consumers that a product that used to sell for less than a buck is in fact worth much more.
In almost 50 locations throughout the Northwest, coffee drinkers can find a curious item next to peppermint mochas and gingerbread lattes: Costa Rica Finca Palmilera, a hard-to-grow bean also called “Geisha” that sells for $7 for a “grande” and $40 for a half-pound bag.
In a way, the release of Starbucks’ highest-end (and most expensive) coffee to-date is similar to what the fast food industry has been doing – offering premium items in order to compete with so-called “fast-casual” restaurants like Panera Bread and premium burger joints like Five Guys.
Starbucks is starting to see smaller, high-end roasters like Stumptown Coffee Roasters out of Portland, Ore., Blue Bottle Bottle Coffee Company in Oakland, Calif., and Intelligentsia from Chicago start to grow in size and popularity. The funny thing is that Starbucks’ success helped spawn this new generation of roasters by showing that consumers are willing to upgrade their $1 cup of joe to $2, $3, even $4.
Now, high-end roasters are expanding in cities throughout the Northwest and along the East Coast. And eventually, they could begin chipping away at Starbucks’ dominance.
Starbucks’ new offering is designed to capture that super-premium customer who may be looking elsewhere and has money to spend, says Edward Jones analyst Jack Russo, who studies the industry. “It’s clearly not going to be a big part of their overall business,” he says. “But if you look at a lot of companies out there — restaurants for example — they’ve moved people up in their menu, offering more premium items. Beauty companies have been doing the same thing, offering premium-type products. What Starbucks is doing isn’t different from anyone else.”
Russo says that with the economy showing signs of recovery, the company may have seen this as a good time to unveil a coffee that you’d think most consumers would sneer at. At first glance, $7 seems ridiculous. But that’s the thing about Starbucks’ entire strategy: They’ve successfully convinced Americans that a few bucks more for a cup of coffee isn’t that big of a deal.
The whole thing is probably best summed up by Jimmy Kimmel, host of ABC’s “Jimmy Kimmel Live.” In addition to rigging a Starbucks taste test showing unassuming participants trying to determine the difference between high-end and regular joe — both cups of coffee were the same, yet most thought one was the $7 cup of Starbucks — Kimmel said this: “Although while it’s ridiculous to spend $7 on a cup of coffee, it’s not that much more ridiculous than spending $4 on a cup of coffee.”

Starbucks: A Model of Success!!!


A new book offers a glimpse behind Starbucks’ massive success. Pour yourself a cup of inspired leadership, and maybe you can caffeinate your business.
If you’re an entrepreneur in need of an energy jolt, odds are that you head straight to Starbucks. And if you’re looking for a jolt of business inspiration, you’d be hard pressed to beat Starbucks as a model of success. The company earned $3.6 billion in revenues during its fiscal second quarter this year—that’s a lot of beans.
However, it takes more than capitalizing on a national love affair with caffeine to build a successful empire. In his book, “Leading the Starbucks Way,” author Joseph A. Michelli looks at different strategies Starbucks uses to create its success, and he shows how businesses of any size can adapt the those tactics to fit their business. Michelli recently shared some of those findings in an article on Small Business Computing.

Personal Passion
Michelli’s first piece of advice is to “focus on fueling passion.” You can’t build customer loyalty without it. Of course, true passion isn’t something you can fake; customers will pick up on that immediately. You—and your employees—really need to love your products and services in order to help customers fall in love with them.
The company also excels at creating great rituals, which furthers customer loyalty and mindshare. Reexamine your business in this light: what rituals can you incorporate to recapture the passion and excitement you felt when you first started your business?
An Emotional Connection
Starbucks offers more than a high-priced cuppa joe. It provides an emotional experience: a retreat from a busy day, a place to meet and share with friends, a comfortable, daily destination. It’s welcoming and homey. That uplifting experience forms strong emotional connections, which in turn drives repeat business.
Ultimately, your customers want to feel that you care about them. Find and tap into the emotional value proposition of your business.
Stand for Something
Often companies avoid taking any kind of stand on issues of the day for fear of losing customers. But by doing that, says Michelli, they “create very little passion.” Case in point, through the strong leadership of its CEO, Howard Schultz—who was a driving force for the Create Jobs for USA program—Starbuck’s is known as a pro-jobs company.
Neither did the outspoken Shultz mince words with a stock holder who expressed dismay over the company’s support of marriage equality.
“We employ over 200,000 people in this company, and we want to embrace diversity. Of all kinds,” said Schultz. “If you feel, respectfully, that you can get a higher return than the 38 percent you got last year, it’s a free country. You can sell your shares in Starbucks and buy shares in another company. Thank you very much.”
It’s not about jumping on the hottest issue of the day or being controversial merely for the sake of controversy. It’s about incorporating your principles into your business, communicating authentically and ensuring that your actions mirror your principles.
One of the reasons customers continue to patronize Starbucks is that they feel as though they belong somewhere. How can you give your customers that sense of belonging?
                                                                                As read in TIME's  Business & Money!


Tuesday, October 8, 2013

4 ways a debt ceiling crisis could affect you!

Congress has never willfully let the United States default on any of its legal obligations. So it's impossible to say with certainty what will happen if lawmakers don't approve a debt ceiling increase soon.

This much is certain: If Congress fails to act, the Treasury Department won't be able to borrow new money and will soon be strapped for cash to pay all the country's bills coming due.
And most economists and budget experts are fairly unanimous: The outcome would be ugly for the economy and markets. The question is just how ugly.
One factor may be how long the situation lasts. Will Congress let Treasury go just a day or two without sufficient cash to pay the bills? Or will it last a month or more?
Perception will also matter. If Treasury can't pay everything in full for a few days but keeps making interest payments on bonds, will the markets dismiss the situation as an embarrassment but not a fatal blow?
Or will defaulting on any legal obligation by the world's largest economy be viewed by investors and ordinary Americans as crossing the Rubicon?
Regardless, it's time to start thinking about the unthinkable, if you haven't already. Here's what many believe is at risk if lawmakers do decide to test the waters of default.
Your nest egg: There's good reason to think the stock market could drop precipitously.
In summer 2011 Congress fought bitterly about the debt ceiling for months before raising the nation's borrowing limit on Aug. 2, barely averting a default. Standard & Poor's called foul anyway and stripped the United States of its sterling AAA credit rating three days later.
Stocks got walloped. The S&P 500 index had fallen roughly 17% from its highest point on July 7 to its lowest on Aug. 8.
By the end of August, they had recovered somewhat but were still down 9% for the summer.
And that was without one payment being missed to anyone.
Your job: Recessions kill jobs. And a recession is what economists predict will happen if Treasury is allowed to fall short of the cash needed to pay incoming bills this month and lawmakers don't raise the debt ceiling for weeks thereafter.
That would force Congress to abruptly slash spending or hike taxes to such an extent that it would slam the brakes on growth.
Your loans: If stocks start to tank, that could send investors racing into Treasury bonds in pursuit of a safe place to put their money. That's what happened after the debt ceiling fight in 2011. Treasury rates, already low, fell further.

But that may not happen if the United States were to miss or delay an interest payment on a bond -- which, it should be noted, most believe is unlikely to happen. But if it did,investors may demand higher rates to continue investing in new U.S. debt.

                                                                                              As reported in CNN Money!

Warren Buffet on Debt Ceiling!

Billionaire Warren Buffett says fighting over the debt ceiling 'ought to be banned as a weapon' like 'nuclear bombs, too horrible to use.' His partner Charlie Munger says Buffett 'understated how awful it is' calling the practice 'deeply immoral.'

                                                                                                        As reported in CNN Money!

Obama: Planning for 'all contingencies' on debt ceiling!

President Obama acknowledged Tuesday that the White House and Treasury Department are planning for "all contingencies" if Congress doesn't raise the debt ceiling in time.
But the contingencies won't be silver bullets.
"No option is good in that scenario," Obama said at a news conference. "There's no magic wand that allows us to wish away the chaos that could result if, for the first time in our history, we don't pay our bills on time."
The expectation is that Treasury will do what it can to prioritize payments to bondholders to calm markets. But there's no guarantee markets will be sanguine if investors keep getting paid but many segments in the U.S. economy are put on hold.
And Obama again dismissed the oft-made suggestion that he could invoke the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which says: "The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law ... shall not be questioned."
In that scenario, he would direct Treasury Secretary Jack Lew to keep borrowing to pay the country's obligations even if Congress doesn't authorize an increase in the legal borrowing limit.
But such actions could be subject to legal challenge, Obama noted.
"If you start having a situation in which there's legal controversy about the U.S. Treasury's authority to issue debt, the damage will have been done even if that were constitutional, because people wouldn't be sure. That's going to make people nervous," Obama said.
He likened it to a would-be home buyer getting cold feet about making a purchase if there is any doubt the seller has title to the house. "You're going to be pretty nervous about buying it. And at minimum, you'd want a much cheaper price to buy that house," he said.
Lew has said he will run out of so-called "extraordinary measures" to keep the country's debt below its legal limit no later than Oct. 17. At that point Treasury will only be able to continue paying bills in full for a short while, using what Lew estimates will be a $30 billion cash balance plus daily revenue.
The Treasury could then run short sometime between Oct. 22 and Nov. 1, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office and the Bipartisan Policy Center.
Lew is scheduled to testify before the Senate Finance Committee on Thursday. Obama indicated that Lew would offer more details on Treasury's payment prioritization plans. 
                                                                                        As reported in CNN Money!

Obamacare Chief Defends Rocky Start on The Daily Show !

Appearing on The Daily Show Monday night, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius faced a friendly pro-health reform host in Jon Stewart, but even he chided the country’s top Obamacare bureaucrat for the rocky start of Affordable Care Act, which has been riddled with computer glitches and crashes.
“The Obamacare implementation has left a lot to be desired. What a great opportunity for the opposition party to offer a reasonable alternative,” said Stewart. “For those of us who are somewhat believing that the opposition right now in Washington are crazy people…it feels like it’s frustrating to defend something that is less than ideal or is functioning at what seems to be a level of incompetence that is larger than what it should be.”
Indeed, the rollout of the first major piece of the health care law has been a mess, which might have created an opening for Republicans who oppose it to argue that the Obama Administration foisted a relatively unpopular law on America and bungled its implementation. But the law’s problematic start is competing with news about the government shutdown that Americans  largely blame on Republicans. This is undoubtedly a relief to Sebelius and the Administration, who have have declined to disclose how many Americans have been able to sign up for new Obamacare-compliant health insurance.
On Monday, Sebelius, trying to explain the glitches and the health care law’s various components to Stewart—from the employer mandate to the individual mandate to new insurance regulations and coverage marketplaces for small businesses—waded into the policy weeds. At one particularly wonky moment, a confused Stewart, trying to understand the secretary’s points, said, “Let me ask you this. Am I a stupid man?”
He’s not. But the Affordable Care Act is complicated. It’s a law with a million moving and inter-connected parts built on a foundation of political compromises that are not easy to decipher or defend. Wouldn’t a single payer system (like the one in place in Britain) have been easier and more fair, asked Stewart. “That may have been a reasonable solution,” said Sebelius, explaining that given Republican opposition to the ACA’s system of subsidized private insurance, a more government-centric plan would have been unpalatable. Stewart nodded. “So this is a system that’s been Jerry-rigged to deal with the crazy people.”
As Time explained in a story in this week’s magazine, the exchanges that launched Oct. 1 depend on young, healthy people signing up for new insurance to subsidize the cost of insuring older sicker Americans. Whether they will buy in depends on many factors, including the price and quality of the insurance plans offered. Some participation, though, might also depend on ease of use. How many young people are hearing about the exchanges and visiting accompanying web sites this week, but then checking out from the process as soon as they hit error screens?
Sebelius pointed out on Monday that uninsured Americans have until mid-December to sign up for coverage than begins Jan. 1. “The good news is you don’t have to buy it today,” she told Stewart. But if, a month from now, it’s still incredibly difficult to sign up for health insurance through a state exchange web site or healthcare.gov, that could affect the balance of the nation’s insurance pool and signal that President Obama’s signature domestic policy achievement may fail to function as promised.
“It started a little rockier than we would like,” Sebelius told Stewart.


Read more: http://nation.time.com/2013/10/08/obamacare-chief-defends-rocky-start-on-the-daily-show/#ixzz2h847f5Ai