Saturday, March 23, 2013

Senate Gives Pre-Dawn OK to Democratic Budget!

An exhausted Senate gave pre-dawn approval Saturday to a Democratic $3.7 trillion budget for next year that embraces nearly $1 trillion in tax increases over the coming decade but shelters domestic programs targeted for cuts by House Republicans.

While their victory was by a razor-thin 50-49 vote, it allowed Democrats to tout their priorities. Yet it doesn’t resolve the deep differences the two parties have over deficits and the size of government.
Joining all Republicans voting no were four Democrats who face re-election next year in potentially difficult races: Sens. Max Baucus of Montana, Mark Begich of Alaska, Kay Hagan of North Carolina and Mark Pryor of Arkansas. Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., did not vote.
(VIEWPOINT: Obama, Give In to the Irrational GOP)
White House spokesman Jay Carney praised the Senate plan, saying in a statement it “will create jobs and cut the deficit in a balanced way.”
While calling on both sides to find common ground, Carney did not hold out much hope for compromise with Republicans. The rival budget passed by the GOP-led House cuts social programs too deeply, he said, and fails “to ask for a single dime of deficit reduction from closing tax loopholes for the wealthy and well-connected.”
The Senate vote came after lawmakers labored through the night on scores of symbolic amendments, ranging from voicing support for letting states collect taxes on Internet sales to expressing opposition to requiring photo IDs for voters.
Final approval came at around 5 a.m. EDT, capping an extraordinary 20 hours of votes and debate. As the night wore on, virtually all senators remained in the chamber, a rarity during a normal business day. But at that hour, most had nowhere else to go.
The Senate’s budget would shrink annual federal shortfalls over the next decade to nearly $400 billion, raise unspecified taxes by $975 billion and cull modest savings from domestic programs.
In contrast, a rival budget approved by the GOP-run House balances the budget within 10 years without boosting taxes.
That blueprint— by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., his party’s vice presidential candidate last year — claims $4 trillion more in savings over the period than Senate Democrats by digging deeply into Medicaid, food stamps and other safety net programs for the needy. It would also transform the Medicare health care program for seniors into a voucher-like system for future recipients.
“We have presented very different visions for how our country should work and who it should work for,” said Senate Budget Committee Chairman Patty Murray, D-Wash.
The long debate got testy at times.
As the clock ticked past 1 a.m., Murray asked senators to show respect for colleagues “who may not be able to stand as long as us, or who are elderly.” Sen. David Vitter, R-La., shot back that Republicans were not trying to delay anything, and wondered what flights or other appointments would be missed if senators voted until 7 a.m.
The loudest acclaim came toward the end, when senators rose as one to cheer a handful of Senate pages — high school students — for their work in the chamber since the morning’s opening gavel. Senators then left town for a two-week spring recess.
Congressional budgets are planning documents that leave actual changes in revenues and spending for later legislation, and this was the first the Democratic-run Senate has approved in four years. That lapse is testament to the political and mathematical contortions needed to write fiscal plans in an era of record-breaking deficits, and to the parties’ profoundly conflicting views.
Republicans said the Democratic budget wasn’t much of an accomplishment. “The only good news is that the fiscal path the Democrats laid out…won’t become law,” said Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.
“I believe we’re in denial about the financial condition of our country,” Sen. Jeff Sessions of Alabama, top Republican on the Budget panel, said of Democratic efforts to boost spending on some programs. “Trust me, we’ve got to have some spending reductions.”
Though budget shortfalls have shown signs of easing slightly and temporarily, there is no easy path for the two parties to find compromise — which the first months of 2013 have amply illustrated.
(MORECan the U.S. Dollar Become Almighty Once Again)
Already this year, Congress has raised taxes on the rich after narrowly averting tax boosts on virtually everyone else, tolerated $85 billion in automatic spending cuts, temporarily sidestepped a federal default and prevented a potential government shutdown.
By sometime this summer, the government’s borrowing limit will have to be extended again — or a default will be at risk — and it is unclear what Republicans may demand for providing needed votes. It is also uncertain how the two parties will resolve the differences between their two budgets, something many believe simply won’t happen.
Both sides have expressed a desire to reduce federal deficits. But President Barack Obama is demanding a combination of tax increases and spending cuts to do so, while GOP leaders say they won’t consider higher revenues but want serious reductions in Medicare and other benefit programs that have rocketed deficits skyward.
Obama plans to release his own 2014 budget next month, an unveiling that will be studied for whether it signals a willingness to engage Republicans in negotiations or play political hardball.
The amendments senators considered during their long day of debate were all nonbinding, but some delivered potent political messages.
They voted in favor of giving states more powers to collect sales taxes on online purchases their citizens make from out-of-state Internet companies, and to endorse the proposed Keystone XL pipeline that is to pump oil from Canada to Texas refineries.
They also voiced support for eliminating the $2,500 annual cap on flexible spending account contributions imposed by Obama’s health care overhaul and for charging regular postal rates for mailings by political parties, which currently qualify for the lower prices paid by nonprofits.
In a rebuke to one of the Senate’s most conservative members, they overwhelmingly rejected a proposal by Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., to cut even deeper than the House GOP budget and eliminate deficits in just five years.
The Democratic budget’s $975 billion in new taxes would be matched by an equal amount of spending reductions coming chiefly from health programs, defense and reduced interest payments as deficits get smaller than previously anticipated.
This year’s projected deficit of nearly $900 billion would fall to around $700 billion next year and bottom out near $400 billion in 2016 before trending upward again.
Shoehorned into the package is $100 billion for public works projects and other programs aimed at creating jobs.

Associated Press writer Andrew Taylor contributed to this report.

                                                                                       As found in TIME Magazine

 

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Economic Indicators That Affect The U.S. Stock Market:-
 
For investors, simply investigating a company’s cash flows, sales, debt loads and other vital statistics may not be enough to understand the firm’s outlook and future. Various outside influences have a big effect on your portfolios returns - even if things are going swimmingly for your stock. Various economic indicators and forces could, and do, impact just how well your portfolio performs.

While a degree in economics isn’t necessary, understanding how these various economic measurements influence investment returns is a vital lesson for investors. Having knowledge of these basic concepts can mean the difference between big gains or a hefty portfolio loss.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Commonly used as a general gauge of economic health for a nation, Gross Domestic Product, or GDP, can be a huge influence on your investment returns. Basically, GDP is the total amount of services and goods produced in a given country’s borders. This includes all of private and public consumption, government outlays, investments and exports less imports that occur within a defined territory.

As you would expect, this measurement of a nation’s economic health has a huge effect on stock market returns. Any significant change in GDP- up or down- usually has a significant effect on the direction of the stock market. For example, when an economy is healthy and growing, it is expected that businesses will report better earnings and growth. Obviously, these sorts of higher profits please investors of all stripes and will push them into equities. At the same time, lower GDP measurements can have the opposite effect on stock prices as businesses begin to suffer.

A prime example of this was during the recent Recession. As U.S. GDP fell and contracted, broad stock market indexes - like the SPDR 500 S&P - sank to decade lows.

Unemployment Rate/Jobs Report
Another very strong indicator that affects the stock markets is the unemployment rate. Like GDP, rate of employment illustrates the development and the strength of the economy. The Jobs Report is reported monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and accounts for approximately 80% of the workers who produce the entire gross domestic product of the United States. The statistic is used to assist government policy makers and economists in determining the current state of the economy and in predicting future levels of economic activity.

Investors follow this number closely as well. The Jobs Report and unemployment rates are critical measures of an economy’s overall health. Essentially, more people with jobs equates to higher economic output, retail sales, savings and corporate profits. As such, stocks generally rise or fall with good or bad employment reports, as investors digest the potential changes in these areas.

The Consumer Price/ Produce Price Indexes
The cold hand of inflation could also be a real bear on portfolio returns. Both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) measure the price changes of baskets of goods. The Consumer Price Index points out the average change in the price of consumer goods and services across more than 200 different categories. The data contains prices for homes, energy, food and medical items that people use on a daily basis, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) tracks the average price of over 10,000 commodities that companies will use to transform into finished goods.

For investors, periods of high consumer and producer inflation can spell the death knell for corporate profits. Higher consumer prices for basic goods can mean that there won’t be any leftover money to buy discretionary items, like Starbucks lattes. At the same time, higher PPI numbers could prevent a firm from expanding or hiring more workers, as the cost of producing goods increases. The stock market can rise or fall based on the signals these two indicators provide.

Retail Sales
Finally, with retail sales accounting for up to 70% of the United States GDP, the monthly measure of consumer confidence and actual retail sales data is of utmost importance. Any period of extended drop-offs in retail spending - especially around seasonal highs, like Christmas - can trigger a downturn in the economy by lowering tax receipts to the government and forcing companies to reduce head counts due to decreasing profits.

Additionally, the retail sales report is one of the timeliest as it provides data that is only a few weeks old. Individual retail companies often give their own sales figures around the same time per month, and poor reports from these companies can trigger sell-offs across the entire spectrum as investors fear a stock decrease.

The Bottom Line
There are far more influences on stock holdings than just sales, earnings and debt measures; various changes in the economy can affect portfolios, as well. The smart investor knows to keep an eye on all indicators, economic and otherwise, that can signal a change in the markets. The previous measures are just some of the economic data that can be used to help shape a macroeconomic picture of the economy.

                                                                                              As appeared in INVESTOPEDIA

Monday, March 18, 2013

 Behind the Scenes of your Mortgage:-

A mortgage can be seen as a stream of future cash flows. These cash flows are bought, sold, stripped, tranched and securitized in the secondary mortgage market. The secondary mortgage market is extremely large and very liquid.

From the point of origination to the point at which a borrower's monthly payment ends up with an investor as part of an mortgage-backed security (MBS), asset-backed security (ABS), collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO) or collateralized debt obligation (CDO) payment, there are several different institutions that all carve out some percentage of the initial fees and/or monthly cash flows.

Most mortgages are sold into the secondary mortgage market. In this article, we'll show you how the secondary mortgage market works and introduce you to its major participants.

Secondary Mortgage Market ParticipantsThere are four main participants in this market: the mortgage originator, the aggregator, the securities dealer and the investor.

1. The Mortgage OriginatorThe mortgage originator is the first company involved in the secondary mortgage market. Mortgage originators consist of banks, mortgage bankers and mortgage brokers. One distinction to note is that banks and mortgage bankers use their own funds to close mortgages and mortgage brokers do not. Mortgage brokers act as independent agents for banks or mortgage bankers. While banks use their traditional sources of funding to close loans, mortgage bankers typically use what is known as a warehouse line of credit to fund loans. Most banks, and nearly all mortgage bankers, quickly sell newly originated mortgages into the secondary market.

However, depending on the size and sophistication of the originator, it might aggregate mortgages for a certain period of time before selling the whole package - it might also sell individual loans as they are originated. There is risk involved for an originator when it holds onto a mortgage after an interest rate has been quoted and locked in by a borrower.

If the mortgage is not simultaneously sold into the secondary market at the time the borrower locks the interest rate, interest rates could change, which changes the value of the mortgage in the secondary market and, ultimately, the profit the originator makes on the mortgage. Originators that aggregate mortgages before selling them should hedge their mortgage pipelines against interest rate shifts. There is a special type of transaction called a best efforts trade, designed for the sale of a single mortgage, which eliminates the need for the originator to hedge a mortgage. Smaller originators tend to use best efforts trades. (To learn more, see A Beginner's Guide To Hedging.)

In general, mortgage originators make money through the fees that are charged to originate a mortgage and the difference between the interest rate given to a borrower and the premium a secondary market will pay for that interest rate.

2. The AggregatorAggregators are the next company in the line of secondary mortgage market participants. Aggregators are large mortgage originators with ties to Wall Street firms and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Aggregators purchase newly originated mortgages from smaller originators, and along with their own originations, form pools of mortgages that they either securitize into private label mortgage-backed securities (by working with Wall Street firms) or form agency MBSs (by working through GSEs). (To learn more about GSEs, see Profit From Mortgage Debt With MBS.)

Similar to originators, aggregators must hedge the mortgages in their pipelines from the time they commit to purchase a mortgage, through the securitization process, and until the MBS is sold to a securities dealer. Hedging a mortgage pipeline is a complex task due to fallout and spread risk. Aggregators make profits by the difference in the price that they pay for mortgages and the price for which they can sell the MBSs backed by those mortgages, contingent upon their hedge effectiveness.

3. Securities Dealers
After an MBS has been formed (and sometimes before it is formed, depending upon the type of the MBS), it is sold to a securities dealer. Most Wall Street brokerage firms have MBS trading desks. Dealers do all kinds of creative things with MBS and mortgage whole loans. The end goal is to sell securities to investors. Dealers frequently use MBSs to structure CMO, ABS and CDO deals. These deals can be structured to have different and somewhat definite prepayment characteristics and enhanced credit ratings compared to the underlying MBS or whole loans. Dealers make a spread in the price at which they buy and sell MBS, and look to make arbitrage profits in the way they structure CMO, ABS and CDO deals.

4. InvestorsInvestors are the end users of mortgages. Foreign governments, pension funds, insurance companies, banks, GSEs and hedge funds are all big investors in mortgages. MBS, CMOs, ABS and CDOs offer investors a wide range of potential yields based on varying credit quality and interest rate risks.

Foreign governments, pension funds, insurance companies and banks typically invest in high-credit rated mortgage products. Certain tranches of the various structured mortgage deals are sought after by these investors for their prepayment and interest rate risk profiles. Hedge funds are typically big investors in low-credit rated mortgage products and structured mortgage products that have greater interest rate risk.

Of all the mortgage investors, the GSEs have the largest portfolios. The type of mortgage product they can invest in is largely regulated by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight.

The Bottom LineIn a matter of weeks, maybe a month, from the time a mortgage is orginated it can become part of a CMO, ABS or CDO deal. Few borrowers realize the extent to which their mortgage is sliced, diced and traded. The end user of a mortgage might be a hedge fund that makes directional interest rate bets or uses leveraged positions to exploit small relational pricing irregularities, or it might be the central bank of a foreign country that likes the credit rating of an agency MBS. On the other hand, it could be an insurance company based in Brussels, that likes the duration and convexity profile of a certain tranche in an ABS, CMO or CDO deal. The secondary mortgage market is huge, liquid and complex with several institutions that all take a slice of the mortgage pie.

                                                                 Courtesy:- Investopedia

Sunday, March 17, 2013


 

Joint ventures, wholesaling and property management are just a few of the ways investors can profit from real estate, but it takes a little savvy to become successful in this competitive arena. While certain universities do offer coursework and programs that specifically benefit real estate investors, a degree is not necessarily a prerequisite to profitable real estate investing. Whether an investor has a degree or not, there are certain characteristics that top real estate investors commonly possess. This slideshow will identify 10 habits that highly effective real estate investors share.

Make A Plan

Real estate investors must approach their real estate activities as a business in order to establish and achieve short- and long-term goals. A business plan also allows investors to visualize the big picture, which helps maintain focus on the goals rather than on any minor setbacks. Real estate investing can be complicated and demanding, and a solid plan can keep investors organized and on task.


Know The Market
Effective real estate investors acquire an in-depth knowledge of their selected market(s). Keeping abreast of current trends, including any changes in consumer spending habits, mortgage rates and the unemployment rate, to name a few, enables real estate investors to acknowledge current conditions, and plan for the future. This enables investors to predict when trends may change, creating potential opportunities for the prepared investor.


Be Honest

Real estate investors are usually not obligated to uphold a particular degree of ethics. Although it would be easy to take advantage of this situation, most successful real estate investors maintain high ethical standards. Since real estate investing involves people, an investor's reputation is likely to be far reaching. Effective real estate investors know it is better to be fair, rather than seeing what they can get away with.


Develop A Niche

It is important for investors to develop a focus in order to gain the depth of knowledge essential to becoming successful. Taking the time to develop this level of understanding is integral to the long-term success of the investor. Once a particular market is mastered, the investor can move on to additional areas using the same in-depth approach.



Encourage Referrals

Referrals generate a sizable portion of a real estate investor's business, so it is critical that investors treat others with respect. This includes business partners, associates, clients, renters and anyone with whom the investor has a business relationship. Effective real estate investors pay attention to detail, listen and respond to complaints and concerns, and represent their business in a positive and professional manner.


Stay Educated
As with any business, it is imperative to stay up to date with the laws, regulations, terminology and trends that form the basis of the real estate investor's business. Investors who fall behind risk not only losing momentum in their businesses, but also legal ramifications if laws are ignored or broken. Successful real estate investors stay educated and adapt to any regulatory changes or economic trends.

Understand The Risks
Stock or futures market investors are inundated with warnings regarding the inherent risks involved in investing. Real estate investors, however, are more likely to see advertisements claiming just the opposite - that it is easy to make money in real estate. Prudent real estate investors understand the risks - not only in terms of real estate deals, but also the legal implications involved - and adjust their businesses to reduce those risks.


Invest In An Accountant

Taxes comprise a significant portion of a real estate investor's yearly expenses. Understanding current tax laws can be complicated and take time away from the business at hand. Sharp real estate investors retain the services of a qualified, reputable accountant to handle the business's books. The costs associated with the accountant can be negligible when compared to the savings a professional can bring to the business.


Find Help
Learning the real estate investing business is challenging to someone attempting to do things on their own. Effective real estate investors often attribute part of their success to others - whether a mentor, lawyer or supportive friend. Rather than risk time and money tacking a difficult problem, successful real estate investors know it is worth the additional costs (in terms of money and ego) to embrace other people's expertise.

Build A Network
A network can provide important support and create opportunities to a new or experienced real estate investor. This group, comprised of a well-chosen mentor, business partners, clients, or members of a non-profit organization, allows investors to challenge and support one another. Because much of real estate investing relies on experiential based learning, savvy real estate investors understand the importance of building a network.
Conclusion
Despite abundant advertisements claiming that real estate investing is an easy way to wealth, it is in fact a challenging business requiring expertise, planning and focus. In addition, because the business revolves around people, investors benefit in the long run by operating with integrity and by showing respect to associates and clients. Tough it may be relatively simple to enjoy short-lived profits, developing a long-term real estate investing business requires skill, effort and these 10 important habits.

                                                                                                          Taken from Internet

Saturday, March 16, 2013

The Ultimate Guide To Currency ETF Trading:-

ETFs have opened up the doors to previously hard-to-reach reach corners of the market, including foreign equities, commodities and alternative asset classes. Currency ETFs in particular have seen growing interest among investors and traders alike as they greatly simplify the challenges that are otherwise associated with entering the forex market .

How Currency ETFs Work



Currency ETFs attempt to replicate the movements of a currency on the foreign exchange market (forex) against the U.S. dollar (USD), or a basket of currencies. This is done by using cash deposits, such as holding euros or Swiss cash for example, or through the use of futures and swaps contracts to achieve a desired exposure .

If you believe the euro, other active global currency or a basket of currencies will rise or fall relative to the USD, currency ETFs provide a way to capitalize on that. When you purchase a currency ETF you’re betting the price of the currency will rise – short-sell it and you’re betting the price will drop. It is a quick way to capitalize on forex moves without opening a separate forex trading account, which has its own rules, regulations, fees/spreads and brokers.

What’s the Difference?

There are two main types of currency ETF products: those that reflect a specific currency versus the USD, and those that reflect a basket of currencies against the USD.

A currency-specific ETF, such as the CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) tracks the euro/USD forex pair. Figure 1 shows how well the ETF has matched the movements of the euro/USD (pink) over an eight-month period.

Figure 1. FXE versus Euro/USD: Daily Chart – Percentage Scale

A currency basket ETF on the other hand, such as the Dreyfus Emerging Currency Fund (CEW), invests in multiple currencies relative to the USD. In this case, the ETF will increase in value if these currencies on average perform better than the USD .

Figure 2 is list of currency-specific exchange-traded-products (ETPs).

Ticker Currency Expense Ratio
FXE Euro 0.40%
FXY Japanese Yen 0.40%
FXA Australian Dollar 0.40%
FXC Canadian Dollar 0.40%
CYB Chinese Yuan 0.45%
FXF Swiss Franc 0.40%
BZF Brazilian Real 0.45%
FXB British Pound 0.40%
ICN Indian Rupee 0.45%
FXS Swedish Krona 0.40%
FXSG Singapore Dollar 0.40%
Figure 2. Currency-Specific Funds

Figure 3 highlights currency basket ETPs.
Ticker Basket Expense Ratio Strategy
UUP United States Dollar (Bullish) vs. Basket 0.50% Buys only USD futures contracts relative to other major currencies (basket).
CEW Emerging Currency 0.55% Invests in emerging currency markets
DBV G10 Currency Harvest 0.81% Goes long futures in highest G10 interest rate currencies, and short futures in the lowest interest rate currencies
CCX Commodity Currency 0.55% Invests in commodity-related currencies
ICI Currency Carry 0.65% Invests in high yielding G10 currencies by borrowing in low-yielding G10 currency markets–carry trade.
AYT Asia 8 0.89% Invests in the 8 currency markets of Asia
PGD Asian & Gulf Currency Revaluation 0.89% Invests in 5 currencies: Hong Kong, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and China
The different products offer varying risk and opportunity levels, and they provide a wide range of exposure to different currencies. Baskets invest in multiple currencies, and therefore should theoretically have more price stability than a currency-specific product, although that doesn’t mean currency basket products don’t experience volatility – at times these baskets of currencies can be very volatile if affected by a regional event or news. One type of product is not better than the other, but each investor must thoroughly critique what they are seeking, and the risks they can accept, before deciding which product is the right fit.

Forex 101

The currency markets allow global commerce to run smoothly, facilitating the transfer of products and services from one place to another. According to the 2010 Bank for International Settlement data (the next report is expected in 2013), global foreign exchange volume is estimated at $3.98 trillion per day, or about $83 trillion per month. Much of this is speculation, as global world product (GWP)—the global equivalent of GDP—is estimated at $69 -79 trillion per year. Much of the volume that occurs above the actual trade of goods and services is speculation, and can cause significant volatility, very long-term trends and rapid changes in direction .
The forex market is very sensitive to news releases that may change people’s view of a currency going forward. Interest rate and Federal Reserve announcements as well as economic data releases typically have the largest impact in this regard. Below we highlight some of the major data/news releases that affect the forex market. In the moments before and after these announcements hit the market, expect increased volatility and wider bid-ask spreads in the currency ETFs you are trading.
Keep in mind that the news event affecting one currency or country may affect other currencies as well – even those that are seemingly unrelated. Therefore, news events such as those discussed in the next section are noteworthy when released by any major country, and the names of releases may vary by country. Locate an economic calendar that shows all news and data reports scheduled for release in each country to stay on top of news that may affect your currency ETF. Many of these calendars rate the news events, from high to low, according to the expected market impact.

Major News Events And Impacts

Federal Reserve or Central Bank announcements
News releases from banking committees, financial bodies such as treasuries or reserve banks relating to interest rates or economic outlooks can shift perception and are widely watched and traded.
Consumer or Product Price Index (CPI, PPI)
These indexes provide inflation data and therefore provide clues as to interest rate direction, affecting short- and long-term direction in currencies.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
This is an indicator of how a country is doing economically and therefore provides valuable fundamental data to currency traders.
New and Existing Home Sales, Retail Sales and Unemployment data
All indicators that provide data on the financial condition of consumers within a country’s economy tend to affect how a country is perceived by global and domestic traders.
Policymaker Speeches
Talks by people in power, such as heads of state, Federal Reserve(s) or Treasury departments can sway markets based on their bullish or bearish comments.
Manufacturing and Construction Data
Looks at growth or contraction in the manufacturing sector; an indicator of economic health.
Trade Balance, Balance of Payments, Current Account and Debt Levels
Numbers that reflect economic health, growth or contraction, which have long-term effects on the demand and supply of a currency.
Geopolitical News
Unscheduled news events play a significant role in inducing fear or greed in investors, causing them to dump one currency, rushing into another. This includes everything from earthquakes to parliamentary elections.
Commodity and Other Market Prices
Commodities and other financial markets are affected by currency rates, and currency rates are affected by changes in other markets. Monitor correlations between asset classes to determine what a drastic change in the commodity or stock complex may do to currencies, or vice versa.

Currency ETF Trading Tips You Need

ETFs listed on the American markets will be active during the U.S. session, but actual currency trades around the clock, with the most activity occurring during the U.S. and London market hours. Since currency ETFs are thinly traded outside of U.S. market hours, be wary of trading the open and close (U.S hours) as sharp movements can occur to bring the ETF back in line with its NAV (net asset value), or large orders may cause a significant deviation from NAV .

Currency ETFs are exposed to frequent opening gaps in price, and ETF traders won’t be able to capture all of the intra-day moves available on the 24-hour forex market. As with any trading vehicle, use stop-loss orders to control downside risk; incorporate limit orders into your trading in attempt to get favorable pricing during peak and off-peak trading times; and take profits using a disciplined technique as currencies can be volatile and change direction quickly.

The Bottom Line

Currency ETFs provide a convenient way for investors to access the forex market through their current stockbroker. Currency ETFs can be divided into two broad categories—currency-specific and basket—each providing unique advantages and disadvantages. Currencies can be volatile due to high speculation and sensitivity to news; as such, closely monitor global news, both scheduled and unscheduled, to stay on top of short- and long-term events that can shape future trends. Always monitor downside risk, and take profits when profit potential looks to be waning.
 
Courtesy:- INVESTOPEDIA

Thursday, March 14, 2013

 ETFs To Invest Like Warren Buffett

 Want to be like one of the richest men in the world? Warren Buffett is third on Forbes' World's Billionaires list (ranking the wealthiest people in the world) with a net worth of $44 billion. Only Carlos Slim Helú and Bill Gates rank higher. If you are going to design a portfolio for longer term gains, looking at Buffett's favorite stocks is a logical first step.

For the retail investor, individual stock picking can feel like a loser's game, and often it is. Finding the next Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) in the thousands of available stocks doesn't exactly put the odds in your favor. A less risky way to put money to work in the stock market is to use exchange traded funds (ETFs).

Buffett hasn't disclosed any use of ETFs in his portfolio, but if stocks were not his product of choice, which ETFs might he choose?

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (ARCA:DIA)
There is no doubt that Buffett is a blue chip investor. His portfolio boasts at least five of the Dow 30 stocks as well as other mega cap names like Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP).

For that reason, he would likely invest in an ETF that tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DIA is one of the most popular ETFs, trading more than 3 million shares each day. It has a low expense ratio of only 0.18% and has a dividend yield of 2.4%.

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (ARCA:XLP)
Much of Buffett's portfolio is made up of low beta names that pay a healthy dividend. Names that Buffett has said he will hold "forever" include Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG).

Those two names are the top two holdings, making up 23.6% of XLP. Buffett owns four of the top 10 holdings in the fund. Since Buffett is a penny pincher, he would want a low expense ratio, and at 0.18%, he would get it with XLP. He would also be paid a dividend of more than 3% to hold it.

iShares MSCI EAFE Index (ARCA:EFA)
CNBC chronicled a trip that Buffett and a Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A, BRK-B) delegation recently took to China. He not only had existing investments in the country, but also looked for new opportunities.

He has his eye on opportunities outside of America, so a Buffett ETF portfolio has to have some international exposure. There are a large number of ETFs with China, emerging markets and other international exposure, but the EFA ETF keeps with his core idea of investing in solid, reliable, developed businesses.

EFA invests in securities in developed countries in Europe, the Far East and Australasia. Its relatively low expense ratio of 0.34% is well below the category average of 0.51% and the fund pays a dividend of more than 3%.

PowerShares Dynamic Food & Beverage (ARCA:PBJ)
Finally, any Buffett follower knows that he is a very rich man with common tastes. He loves Coca-Cola products, likes to stay in his modest-looking home and one of his favorite restaurants is a steakhouse in Omaha, Neb.

For that reason, an ETF that tracks the performance of the more sinfully delicious foods might be in order. The PBJ ETF has among its holdings Kraft (Nasdaq:KRFT) (one of his holdings), Hershey (NYSE:HSY) and Papa John's Pizza (Nasdaq:PZZA). It has a yield of 1.57% and an expense ratio of 0.63% - maybe a little high for his "taste."

The Bottom Line
Buffett hasn't shown much of an interest in ETFs, but for retail investors, ETFs remove some of the risks associated with stock picking. Maybe next time he does one of those three-hour CNBC interviews, somebody will ask him about his favorite ETFs.

At the time of writing, Tim Parker did not own any shares in any company mentioned in this article.
Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2013/etfs-to-invest-like-warren-buffett-dia-xlp-efa-pbj0207.aspx#ixzz2NZOTrVey


Courtesy:-As appeared in INVESTOPEDIA

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Views on Gold as Investment:-

Contradicting views on gold have claimed reams of newsprint over the past many months. Some experts believe that the dream run in gold is over and prices have peaked. Other contest that gold has hardly lost its safe haven lustre. Particularly since there is no end in sight to money printing in the Western economies. Also with currencies devaluing like never before the chances that only gold will be able to stave off inflation is a real possibility. But those hoping to become rich over night by investing in tons of gold have surely been disappointed off late.

The India government has its own pessimistic and myopic views on gold. It believes that the yellow metal is the key culprit for India's current account deficit problem. It also imposed additional taxes to act as a deterrent to buying gold. But at the same time showed no inclination in making other investment avenues more palatable. The meek attempt at hedging inflation with inflation indexed bonds also does not seem to be a winner. Hence the verdict is that Indians will continue to park their surpluses in gold.

What is however encouraging is that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has changed its views on gold. It does recognize the problem caused by excessive gold imports. However, the central bank has concluded that gold is the best possible liquid investment at the current juncture. Moreover, it believes that gold could be the key to resolving the bottlenecks in financial inclusion. Earlier RBI had cited the need to have a lower loan to value ratio (LTV) on lending against gold as compared to home loans. Banks were allowed to lend only up to Rs 60 for every Rs 100 worth of gold mortgaged with it. As against up to 85% of the value of your property by way of home loan. But that may no longer be the case. As per the recommendation of a Working Group commissioned by the RBI eve n gold may fetch up to 75% LTV going forward. RBI's confidence in the 'banking potential' of the yellow metal is not without statistical backing. For bank loans against gold have multiplied 4 times in the last 4 years. And customers even in semi urban and rural areas find gold as the easiest collateral to offer for bank loans.

Thus while many of its counterparts in emerging markets are buying more gold as reserves, the RBI is doing its bit by encouraging gold as a financial asset. We believe that the fundamentals of global money supply do show a strong possibility of gold being one of the most lucrative asset classes in the long term. If India can use this opportunity to make the economy financially inclusive it will be a cherry on the cake. Having said that, as with stocks, investment in gold too can reap results only over the long term, that too with correct asset allocation. 


                                                                                                                Courtesy:- Equity Master

How to claim Tax-benefits for home loans?

The Income Tax Act, 1961 provides for tax benefits for assessees that have home loans. Typically a home loan is repaid to the bank / lender in monthly installments (EMIs). The installment consists of two parts - interest and principal repayment. The bank gives a detailed worksheet of the loan calculation and of the bifurcation of the EMIs paid by the borrowers. These monthly repayments are qualified for deductions from income tax. Here is the tax treatment for EMIs paid by the borrower:
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 Deduction under Section 80C of the Income Tax Act
The portion of the EMI paid towards repayment of principal amount of the loan can be deducted from income. The borrower can get a tax deduction for a maximum amount of Rs. 1L each year under this section irrespective of his tax bracket. The Act requires the home loan to be towards a property for self occupation. However if the assessee's city of employment is different from the city where he has purchased a home, he is still eligible for this deduction. So if Sunil works in Mumbai but has purchased a home in his hometown Nagpur, he can still claim a deduction under this section even if he is not actually staying in this home.Deduction under Section 24(b) of the Income Tax Act
The interest paid towards home loan is treated as an 'expense' under 'Income from house property' and is deductible under Section 24(b) from the total income of the assessee. The maximum deduction permitted under this section is Rs.1.5L per annum.
In case of partial disbursement of loan
In cases where some part of the loan is disbursed by the bank during construction stage of the property, the tax treatment is slightly different. This portion of the interest paid prior to completion of construction of property cannot be claimed as a deduction in the year in which it is paid. However, upon completion of construction, the assessee can claim deduction for this interest under Section 24(b) in 5 equal installments, i.e., 1/5th for each of the five years after the end of construction period.
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Note that the upper limit on deduction each year remains Rs. 1.5L. Assume Mr. Sunil purchased a home from Suraksha Developers in FY. 2005-2006.The property was still under construction and was completed only in F.Y 2008-2009. Some amount of loan was disbursed by the bank in FY2005-2006 and Sunil made interest payments of Rs. 1L between FY 2005-2006 and FY 2007-2008. Sunil can claim deduction of Rs. 0.2L for 5 years starting from FY 2008-2009.
In case of total disbursement of loan
If Sunil received the entire loan money in FY 2005-2006, and started paying EMI immediately, he would lose on the principal repayment deduction under Section 80C for the 3 years until construction of the property ends. This is because deduction under Section 80C can be availed only after getting possession of the property.

In case of more than one home loan
If Sunil works in Mumbai and has a purchased a home in Mumbai for which he has taken home loan. Will he still get benefit under the Act for this second home in Nagpur? The answer is 'Yes'. Benefits under Section 80C and Section 24(b) can be taken for more than one home if all these homes satisfy the requirements of the Act. The home in Mumbai satisfies the condition of self occupancy while the home in Nagpur comes within the exception of the self occupancy rule that the city of work is different. Irrespective of the number of homes the maximum limit of Rs.1L for Section80C and Rs.1.5L for Section 24(b) still apply. Note that it does not matter if Sunil gives one home on rent. He will still be able to get the tax break.
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In case of joint home loan
What is the tax impact if Sunil has taken the home loan jointly with his father?

In this case both Sunil and his father can claim tax deduction on their return if the home too is jointly owned by them. Tax benefit can be availed in the same proportion as the burden of EMI borne by each. If Sunil pays 80 percent of the EMI and his father contributes towards the remaining 20 percent, the tax deduction will be available in the same proportion. So if principal repaid during a year is Rs.1L then Sunil can claim Rs. 0.8L under section 80C and his father can claim Rs.0.2L under the even section. If Sunil's father does not co-own the home, then he will not get any tax deductions for EMIs paid on such loan.BankBazaar.com is an online marketplace where you can instantly get the lowest loan rates, compare and apply online for your personal loan, home loan, car loan and credit card from India's leading banks and NBFCs

                                                                                                  As found on Internet

Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Definition of 'Blanket Mortgage'

A mortgage which covers two or more pieces of real estate. The real estate is held as collateral on the mortgage, but the individual pieces of the real estate may be sold without retiring the entire mortgage.

This is an alternative to a developer having to take out numerous individual properties within a large property purchase that they intend to sell in individual parts. The blanket mortgages are typically taken out to cover the costs of purchasing and developing land that developers plan to subdivide into individual lots.

                                                                                                                      Taken from Investopedia
Those who lose visualize the penalties of failure. Those who win visualize the rewards of success.-  Robert Gilbert
                                                                                                                                                       Taken from Net

Monday, March 11, 2013

"The risk of an investment is described by both the probability and the potential amount of loss. The risk of an investment-the probability of an adverse outcome-is partly inherent in its very nature. A dollar spent on biotechnology research is a riskier investment than a dollar used to purchase utility equipment. The former has both a greater probability of loss and a greater percentage of the investment at stake." - Seth Klarman 

                                                                                          Courtesy:- Equity Master
One would not be entirely wrong in saying that retail investors tend to have a love-hate relationship with foreign institutional investors (FIIs). They love it when FIIs buy into stocks that are owned by them. And would of course dislike it when FIIs exit such stocks! After seeing an outflow of Rs 27 bn in CY11, FIIs' inflow into equities stood at whopping Rs 1.3 trillion during CY12. According to the Economic Times, FIIs have significantly reduced stakes in companies whose financial performance has not been up to the mark. Instead, they seem to have favored large caps. Given the overall uncertainty that has been surrounding the economy and broader markets over the past year, this seems like a good strategy. However, we believe that one must also keep a close eye on the broader valuations. Currently, good quality stocks are not cheap. And they haven't been for a while now! With FIIs favoring such stocks, the overall expectations also would have risen. This could possibly make large caps volatile especially in cases of the financial performances failing to meet expectations. 

                                                               Courtesy:- Equity Master
The RBI had its job cut out over last few Monetary Policy reviews. To turn down the government's appeal for aggressive rate cut. After all, it saw little sense in cutting rates when inflation was nowhere near its comfort zone. More so because the government did little to assuage its fiscal deficit and inflation worries. Hence review after review the RBI stuck to its dovish stance. Rate cuts though few and far between, hardly offered enough growth stimulation to the economy. However, the Union Budget and several other economic indicators seem to suggest that the RBI might have to explain itself more. Especially if it chooses to stick to the current interest rate levels much longer. For one, the government reiterated its commit ment to fiscal consolidation. The FM is targeting fiscal deficit below 5.2% for FY13. FIIs and foreign investors will continue to be welcomed. The risks of government's massive borrowing programme may also be mitigated if the proposed inflation linked bonds find wide acceptance. Fall in oil prices could be lower inflation in the days to come. Rise in Chinese exports gives cues of global economic recovery. Thus the RBI will have to articulate the next Monetary Policy review carefully to justify its stance. Having said that, we believe, as in the past, Dr Subbarao and his colleagues should not give in to undue pressure. 

                                                                                                      Courtesy:- Equity Master
What can revive the capex cycle?

With Central Statistical Organisation predicting that India may grow at just 5% in this financial year, finance minister is likely to look at ways that can revive the capex cycle. That's because it is the lack of investment in the infrastructure space due to administrative bottlenecks that has impacted growth. Thus, there is a strong possibility that the government may take some innovative measures in the upcoming budget to promote infrastructure investments. Because unless that is done, both capex cycle and growth would continue suffer.

One option that is being proposed by some economists to kick start the investment cycle is to curb the outflow of dividends doled out by corporates by taxing them if they exceed a certain threshold. This will prompt corporates to invest more in their business rather than paying out high dividends which may attract a tax. Whether or not this suggestion is implemented still remains to be seen.

However, one thing is for sure, if the government wants to restore growth it will have to look out for some innovative ways as it has very limited headroom to revive growth via expansionary fiscal policies. Growth can be promoted by either increasing expenditure or reducing taxes. However, government cannot afford either of these since it will increase the fiscal deficit and threaten India's sovereign rating.

Another way to boost growth is to reduce the interest rates. But considering that inflation continues to remain high even that option is ruled out. And in order to contain inflation government will have to take steps to reduce twin deficits. That's because fiscal deficit is financed by borrowings. As a result, new money stock is created in the economy which stokes inflation. Also, rising current account deficit would mean that the nation's currency would weaken. This gives rise to inflation as foreign goods become more expensive. Thus, using interest rate, as a measure, to bolster corporate investments can fructify only if the deficit issues are addressed.

Thus, it appears that the government has very little headroom to kick start the capex cycle by traditional ways of lowering interest rates or expanding the fiscal gap. It will have to look out for some innovative ways to restore spend in the infrastructure space. If not, re-scaling 8-9% growth may well turn out to be a distant dream.


                                                                         Courtesy:- Equity Master